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M3 Selections For The Weekend

Another week goes by and another winner for the M3 selections as Catania won 1-0 at Siena, decent price as well. Once again a week goes by though without a proper update, I don't know where the time goes!

I've just run through the data for the weekend and it looks like a busy weekend for the M3 selections with 6 in total being highlighted. There's a few big priced ones in there (starting with Hamburg tonight!) so it'll be good if we get a winner or two, if we don't and it's a total wipeout then that's just the way it is.

As well as putting them in singles I'll also be putting them into various double combinations, if they all come in then you won't see me updating this blog, I'll be to busy supping on my Vodka and Coke on a beach somewhere :o)

24.02.12
M'gladbach 2.67 1.73
Hamburg 2.73 4.5
Draw 3.87 3.75
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 4.5

25.02.12
Mainz 3.22 1.73
Kaiserslautern 2.62 4.75
Draw 3.25 3.6
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 4.75

Werder Bremen 2.25 1.8
Nurnberg 3.43 4.5
Draw 3.79 3.5
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 4.5

Plymouth 2.55 2.0
Dag and Red 2.47 3.75
Draw 4.93 3.4
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 3.75

26.02.12
Sheffield Weds 1.92 2.7
Sheffield United 4.5 2.5
Draw 3.88 3.4
*** Back Home at odds in excess of 2.7

Napoli 4.36 1.83
Inter 2.54 4.33
Draw 2.65 3.4
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 4.33

 

M3 Selections For This Week

So close to an almost perfect weekend with the first 2 M3 selections coming in (Ipswich and Exeter) but we then had to wait till Sunday night for the mother of all let downs as Levante (decent priced favourites) self imploded and lost 3-5 (3-5 ??? Whoever loses by that score??) at home to Vallecano. It would of been an excellent return for the Doubles multiple, as it was we had to settle for doubling our initial stake on the multiple and a decent enough return on the outright singles bets.

Couple of selections for the games this week, I'll be sticking them in a cheeky double. Will sort out the M3 ROI at some point this week and also put up a proper(ish) post:

21.02.12
Bologna 2.44 2.5
Fiorentina 2.27 3.0
Draw 6.63 3.0
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 3.0

22.02.12
Siena 2.67 2.1
Catania 1.83 3.6
Draw 12.57 3.2
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 3.6

 

M3 Predictions For The Weekend

Morning all. There are 3 selections for this weekend so I'm posting them all at once in case anyone wants to put them in accumulators etc. I've put them into my usual Double multiples. A quieter weekend than last weekend but lets hope it's a little more profitable!

We finally hit a winner during the week which brough the ROI back up a little to 23.7%, an excellent return and like I've said before, probably unsustainable.

Apart from that, it's been a poor week for my automated systems, I can remember from years gone by that the European competition weeks can be a graveyard sometimes and it has certainly proved the case for me. Even last night though with a fairly minimal number of games the automated systems had their third worst losing day of the month, maybe they'll all come good this weekend ?!

I've also managed to restart the pre-race horse trading app but only for 'paper trading' purposes. At the current time, it records potential trades so it is easier for me to then scan through the data at the end of the day rather than try and pick my way through graphs looking for trends and why they have occured.

Onto the weekends selections then:

Saturday 18.02.12
 
Ipswich 1.95 2.75
Cardiff 4.07 2.5
Draw 4.14 3.3
*** Back Home at odds in excess of 2.75

Exeter 1.71 2.3
Bury 5.5 3.0
Draw 4.31 3.4
*** Back Home at odds in excess of 2.3

 
Sunday 19.02.12

Levante 1.69 2.3
Vallecano 9.4 3.2
Draw 3.33 3.2
*** Back Home at odds in excess of 2.3
 

M3 Selection For 15.02.12

Good to get back to winning ways last night as Torquay won at Cheltenham. My cable service seems to have died at home and they can't get an engineer to us until Friday morning so all my automated stuff will be off till then and I'll have to also live without telly!! :o)

Just the one selection for tonight:

Atalanta 8.0 2.1
Genoa 1.85 3.5
Draw 3.0 3.3
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 3.5

 

M3 Selection For 14.02.12

Thanks for the comments yesterday, have added my own now as well!

Just a quick post with a selection for tonight, if this loses then it'll be 8 on the trot we've lost, no-one can say I'm trying to hide anything :o)

Torquays price has actually come in slightly but 3.75 should just about be available I think. To be honest, we get decent value on most selections so it won't hurt to take this one a little lower if needs be:

Cheltenham 2.67 2.0
Torquay 2.43 3.75
Draw 4.67 3.4
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 3.75

 

Update 4 U

Nice to get a comment on the blog at last, seems as if anything I post falls on deaf ears most of the time! Just a pity that the person leaving the comment - 'Usp' (wonder what that stands for ?) wasn't able to elaborate a little more on his compelling and incisive remark consisting of 'Did u ever make money ur selections r rubbish most of the time.'
What Mr Usp's comment has done is make me finally update the ROI (that means Return On Investment for the likes of Mr Usp) for the M3 Selections.
Since I restarted them in early December last year there have been 50 selections and these have produced an ROI of 21.9%, not to shabby and a smidge under the 23.57% predicted ROI based on stats from the previous 5 seasons. Unfortunately I am not too sure whether the likes of Mr Usp have any understanding of things like long term ROI, probably just looking for the next guaranteed 'lump on' job.
If Mr Usp had also read my previous posts (and to be fair there hasn't exactly been many this year) he will have also noted that I pointed out in mid-February that the M3 selections were returning a totally unsustainable 44% ROI and a dip was very likely, the weekend just gone was just that dip as 7 selections all failed, but that's the game we play. Anyone who doesn't understand and accept losing runs will struggle making any sort of profit on a regular basis in my opinion.

Moving on. Apart from the M3 selections it was a pretty successful weekend for my automated systems. The original in play football trading app just about broke even but the new in play football trading app had a fine weekend and put it nicely in profit for the month.

The pre-race horse trading app is still on hold as I try out various new manual strategies, there's no rush with it and the bad weather has meant it's not exactly missing out on an awful lot.

 

M3 Football Selection For 12.02.12

I just had one of those feelings about the selections yesterday and with them going zero out of six I was right! I think that's the second time this season that has happened, just one of those things and part and parcel of the game. The closest we came was being on the draw at Sunderland where Arsenal grabbed a late late winner to take the game 2-1.

'Luckily', the rest of my sytems had a decent day which meant I came out just about level. The new in play football app had it's best day yet and pulled in a decent profit to put it in profit for the month. By the very nature of it it, it seems to be laying short odds selections so losing runs are inevitable, it just needs the occasional day like yesterday for it to be in profit overall.

Just one selection today and once again it's at decent odds over in Italy.

Atalanta 3.22 1.83
Lecce 2.18 4.5
Draw 4.32 3.4
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 4.5

 

M3 Football Selections For 11.02.12

Huge winning day last Sunday as both selections came in, as well as that I also had them in a double which paid about 14/1. It's been a quiet week with no further selections but today it's back to business with 6 matches being highlighted, whether they all escape the weather is another matter.

I've also put them into various double permutations so it could either be a very good or very bad day for them! Apologies for the lack of updates on the blog, I'll sort something out next week as well as work out the current ROI for the M3 selections:

Mainz 3.0 1.91
Hannover 2.9 4.0
Draw 3.11 3.4
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 4.0

Everton 4.71 3.25
Chelsea 2.8 2.25
Draw 2.32 3.3
*** Back Draw at odds in excess of 3.3

Sunderland 5.0 3.5
Arsenal 2.67 2.1
Draw 2.35 3.4
*** Back Draw at odds in excess of 3.4

Bristol Rvs 3.2 2.1
Morecambe 2.44 3.4
Draw 3.59 3.4
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 3.4

Cagliari 4.25 2.1
Palermo 2.6 3.6
Draw 2.63 3.2
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 3.6

Santander 2.78 3.75
Ath Madrid 3.25 2.0
Draw 3.01 3.4
*** Back Home at odds in excess of 3.75

 

M3 Selections For 05.02.12

Close call yesterday for our M3 selection but Stuttgart could only manage a 2-2 draw at Leverkusen. We have a couple of selections for today, once again they're decent odds, I've also stuck them into a double.

Kaiserslautern 2.33 1.75
FC Koln 2.83 4.75
Draw 4.58 3.5
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 4.75

Chievo 4.13 2.3
Parma 2.14 3.3
Draw 3.44 3.1
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 3.3

M3 Selection For 04.02.12

Just the one selection for today,we did have another but predictably it's fallen foul to the weather. The M3 selections have had a good week with the last two picks winning, big odds away in Germany today so will be a good one if it comes in!

Leverkusen 2.77 1.75
Stuttgart 2.93 4.5
Draw 3.36 3.75
*** Back Away at odds in excess of 4.5