January 8th

Couple of interesting evenings betting on the Carling Cup! Tuesday couldn't of gone much worse, the in play app lost about £90 and it was on 13 consecutive losing bets at one point. As you all know, I bet on value so overtime I should make a profit, having 13 consecutive losing bets makes it hard to take sometimes though!

I also started using my ValueStats application, this was telling me that Spurs were a big lay @ 2.8 with the score at 0-1 at half time. As we all know, Spurs ended up winning 4-1! I also got stung a couple of times laying them next goal and by the time the fourth went in I'd had enough, typically they didn't score any more after that. My betting using my value method ended about £80 down on the night.

Last night we had the same scenario. Championship team taking a 1-0 lead against a Premier side, the Betfair forums were awash with people 'piling' into Man Utd at 2.9ish and laying Derby like mad at 2.8. I'd been stung the night before but after a couple of postings on the forum with my opinion that Man Utd were a lay at that price (my value app had them at 3.5!) I talked myself into it and layed them, only got about £25 back but it felt good all the same :o) The in play app also had a decent night mainly due to punters piling into Man Utd and my app happily laying them, it finished about £130 up on the night.

If betting was as easy as waiting for a 'big' team or favourite to go a goal behind or still be struggling at 0-0 and then piling into backing them, we'd all be selling our houses and using the cash to become millionaires (unless of course we already live in million pound houses ala John2E.. ;o) ). A lot of people got stung last night on that result, it felt good to swim against the tide and come out on top!

Nothing from The Form Analyst with horse tips over the last couple of days due to the weather claiming a lot of the racing. Need that account to come up with a few winners though before my month subscription runs out :o)

Comments

[john2e]

Actually I thougt we all lived in million pound houses.

I thought all "professional" gamblers did.

Andrew "bert" Black's outside loo cost more than that.

PS. Don't tell anyone I live in a cardboard box underneath Waterloo Bridge. It's ok but the internet reception can be a bit ropey when the trains go over, and every time I try and sign on to Betfair, I get that message "No Tramps Allowed".