Talkbet

December 31st

As each day starts I've normally got over games from the previous day but even now I'm still reeling from last night's Hull v Villa game. The in play football app had built up a max hit loss on Villa and I was just in the throws of levelling the bet off in the last few mins, I had a bet up and waiting to be taken next in line as they attacked....the cross comes over and a Hull defender pokes his leg out and the ball goes in, another late goal killing me.

On another market I'd built up a decent'ish green on Villa so in a fit of desperation I used that green and laid them in the tiny chance they'd let in an equaliser. In the die'ing seconds the ref awards Hull a pen for handball, I couldn't believe it, of course it was to good to be true and after consulting his linesman (and clearly both of them getting assistance from the 4th official) the ref then changes his mind and awards a goal kick. Talk about kicking someone while they're down. It sums it up for me really.

December has been a poor month for me, football has lost £650 although to be fair this should of been £480 less due to my total suicidal betting frenzy in the Everton v Chelsea game this month which cost me a small packet. 

Horse Racing is currently down £75 although The Form Analyst has had a good couple of days and is currently winning the money back from the poor picks at Christmas.

So another years ends, not the best of years for me, be glad to see the back of it. Betting is much the same as last year and the year before that etc.

Happy New Year to you all, lets hope 2009 brings a bit more reward for all the effort that I seem to put into this betting lark.

December 30th

Another bad day yesterday with Man Utd scoring their now almost obligatory single goal late'ish in the second half. They are making a real habit of this and it's cost me a fortune in recent weeks, all max hit losses. Only one other in play game yesterday and that was Wolves, they also managed to nick £20 off me leaving me with a gaping £205 loss for the in play football app on the day. Did a p/l for the last week on that account and it's down 1k, I've been here before with it and it has bounced back to recoup all the losses so just hope it does the same. I  wouldn't mind to much but my bank isn't big enough to sustain to many more losses like that, I'll have to look at reducing the stakes for it if I lose to much more.

Couple of selections from The Form Analyst yesterday, the one tipped to win came second and the one tipped Each Way came fourth (paid on first three), sums mine and The Form Analysts luck up at the moment.

As for trying to withdraw a bit of money each day to make up for not working well thats gone right out the window, going through such a bad patch at the moment and at such a crucial time as well!

Had some nice American Football tips this week though giving 4 out of 5 wins, a much welcome relief from other betting!

December 28th

Decent day in the end yesterday with the in play football app showing a £330 profit.

Today though, once again it has swung dramatically the other way, I never seem to have much consistency, the days either seem to be really good or really bad! A very nasty £520 loss today, this last week has been very costly with the in play football app. No games really stick out although Arsenals 81st min goal and West Hams 83rd min goal ensured two big max hit losses. Just wish I'd been one of those laying Blackburn at 1.01 (316k matched!) when they were 2-0 up at home to Man City, the game finished 2-2.

Just the one selection today from The Form Analyst and it proved to be a good one as well winning at 6's on the exchanges. I was advised to back it each way as well so that was a welcome return.

This year is going out with a bit of a whimper with regards betting, need a bit of confidence and enthusiasm to return!

December 27th

The day from hell yesterday. Well, a slight exageration maybe but you get the gist. Fratton Park was not the place to be (unless you are a Hammer), awful stuff and you must start to question whether Adams can really cut it as a manager.

Betting provided no respite. The powerstats took another caning and I've decided that enough's enough with them and am knocking them on the head. This season they have proved a washout and it's time to go back to the drawing board and come up with some new ideas, to be in a minus figure at the turn of the year is a waste of time as far as I'm concerned. I'll see if I can come up with some different ideas and paper trade for the rest of this season.

The in play football app also took a right pasting with the favourites coming out on top with no reply in the big Premiership games, the only game I made a bit of money back was Arsenal at Villa. All the other games just hoovered cash out of the account leaving me with a loss of £400 on the day.

The Form Analyst also had a mare with his selections yesterday, so that didnt help matters much.

Today has been a bit better although the Vittesse game could make a bit of a dent in the current £195 profit from the in play football app. Currently half time in that game so we'll see how the second half pans out.

The Form Analyst though has had the worst day ever I reckon and his selections all took a hammering, although to be fair a lot of the tipping lines out there have taken a beating today, take a read of JP's blog to see what I mean. Still early days for my Form Analyst account but it's showing a large loss at the moment and its going to take some serious good going to get things back on track.

December 25th

Quick post with tomorrows powerstats

Back  Portsmouth at home to West Ham at odds in excess of 2.2
Back  Tottenham at home to Fulham at odds in excess of 1.72
Back  Charlton at home to QPR at odds in excess of 2.62
Back  Ipswich at home to Birmingham at odds in excess of 2.62
Back  Peterboro at home to Millwall at odds in excess of 2.1
Back  Scunthorpe at home to Hartlepool at odds in excess of 1.72
Back  Barrow at home to Wrexham at odds in excess of 3.1
Back  Weymouth at home to Torquay at odds in excess of 3.0

December 24th

Nothing going on betting wise at the moment so Happy Christmas to the readers and fellow bloggers out there.

Back Boxing Day with some powerstats no doubt, can they turn the corner ? We will have to wait and see.....

December 23rd

For the first time in a long while the red mist (or rather blue mist) came down in front of my eyes last night. I went full tilt on my own judgement and piled in a big £200 (big for me anyway!) back of Chelsea at 1.8 midway through the first half. I was convinced they would win and I got seduced into the odds, I was also convinced they would score before half time. 10 minutes later Terry lunges in, gets sent off and Chelsea's odds soar out to 2.8. So no chance of getting out and as the second half started and Chelsea looking comfortable I even put aother £100 on them at 3.15.
To compound matters even more I was laying off and levelling up everything my automated in play app was doing, that was big red on chelsea so i made it smallish red on Everton, small green on Chelsea and nice green on Draw. To be fair, the £300 I had lumped on Chelsea was only £140 in effect due to my in play app, if the game finished 0-0 then I would end up £140 down. That's what happened in the end and instead of winning £340 from the game if I had just sat and watched it and let the app do all the work I was down £140. Another lesson learnt but not a massive loss, just an annoying one.

To be fair, my judgement was seriously clouded by losing £150 in an earlier Greek 2nd Div game, I was seriously determined to win that money back.

So a few more rules in place for me to follow. I'm increasing my betting stake for bets that I see as 'value' using my value app. My personal bet stakes though will be and MUST be limited to £25, no matter how much I need to win back or am convinced they'll win etc.

No in play football today and only a couple of race meetings so probably not much going on. Apart from my new Mercedes turning up at lunchtime that is :o)

December 22nd

Another bad day for the stats although it started brightly with Catania overcoming Roma at 5.2 but it was all downhill from then on. Only 2 of the selections came in, typically these were in seperate multiples so both my multiples bets went down making it an expensive loss.

Running powerstats -11 points (10 points on each selection)
Running Multiples powerstats -135 points (4 points on each Double selection Multiple)

All a bit depressing with the stats really.

Yesterday started badly and pretty much stayed like that with regards the football although I did manage to claw some back and end up with a loss of £115. Olympiakos were the team that most annoyed me most, they managed to score with a 90th min penalty which turned a £144 profit into a £24 loss. I maybe should of got out but there were so many games going on and I was out anyway (watching panto from a posh box at the Kings Theatre in Southsea!).

The Form Analyst had a decent day yesterday though which meant a profit on the day overall for me.

Today once again has started badly for me. These insignificant games are really costing me, today it was Kastoria v Diagoras. I have no idea what country these teams play in but someone was confident of taking money from me though and the game left me £150 down already.

Couple of small stake tips given out by The Form Analyst but neither have come in so I'm trying to play catch up this evening. All on Chelsea ? Never back odds on away teams but the stats are hard to ignore, maybe Chelsea to be winning at half time is the bet to do.

December 21st Update I

Time for a proper update to this blog. Think I'd got up to Thursday at my last post. I'd made a decent amount for the day on the Man U game in the morning but then picked out a few games in the Uefa Cup I thought I'd get involved in. I fancied a lay of Spurs, Santander were a back and so were NEC. In  the end I don't know why but I did nothing! I think it was the fear of losing my days profits or maybe I was just waiting for an opportunity to get involved in one of the games rather than straight bets on the match odds, they all came in, typically :o)

Thursday was a decent enough day though and it got topped off nicely with a back of Colts -6 on the handicaps in the NFl thanks to a hot tip that came through for me!

Friday I signed up to the BetAngel offer of 20 days for £15. I'd had a few more ideas mulling around in my head about trading using the charts available on BetAngel. The trading went ok to be honest, it was refreshing using small stakes of 10 or 20 pounds rather than the huge stakes (to me anyway) of 1k that I used to use and pray the odds went in the right direction. I was trying to make about £2 per race and the smaller stakes meant a lot more relaxing time, letting trades run, letting them go in play etc. I plan on using the 20 days to see how I get on.

I also signed up to a month with the The Form Analyst. It's something I've been following for a while now and so Friday I took the plunge. We'll see how it goes but I've had my fill of trying to pick winners/losers from the horses so I'm leaving it to someone far more qualified than me!

Friday was a good day, managed to make £20 trading greyhounds and £5 trading the horses. The in play football app as well as some 'value' betting using my other app pulled in £150.

Saturday saw the first selections come through for me from The Form Analyst none of them came in although one of them traded quite low. They were all pretty decent prices so I'm not overly concerned, days like that will happen often enough, be good to get a winning day under the belt though. The football was a bit disappointing, it was looking good till the early evening and then a series of losing bets gave me a loss on football of £56 for the day.

Today has also started badly thanks to Rooneys 73rd min goal in some insignificant game somewhere. If that hadn't come in then I would of been looking at a bumper day already, as it stands I'm already £100 down on the football, plenty of time left in the day though :o) Hmmm make that £170 down thanks to Ajax's 3rd goal thats just gone in and it's not even 1 o'clock yet!

December 21st

Quick post with todays powerstats. Better day with them yesterday with a 20 point profit although the Multiples (6 in each selection) came out exactly even which was a bit bizarre. I will get round to doing a proper post at some point....

Back  Arsenal at home to Liverpool at odds in excess of 2.4
Back  Marseille at home to Nancy at odds in excess of 1.53
Back  Paris SG at home to Valenciennes at odds in excess of 1.5
Back  Atalanta at home to Juventus at odds in excess of 4.5
Back  Catania at home to Roma at odds in excess of 5.0
Back  Chievo at home to Genoa at odds in excess of 2.5
Back  Sampdoria at home to Fiorentina at odds in excess of 2.62
Back  Torino at home to Napoli at odds in excess of 2.62
Back  Mallorca at home to Sevilla at odds in excess of 3.5
Back  Villarreal at home to Barcelona at odds in excess of 4.2