Talkbet

June 1st

Well another month ends....The in play football app had a flying day to finish with showing a £100 profit by the end of the day, it ended month down just £20 which I'm happy enough with. It had a very poor beginning with losses day after day so to claw it back to almost level is satisyfing enough for me.

The horses have had a poor month, down about £300. I blame my staking for this as I increased my stake per point when my bank looked healthy only to then go on a bad run (coupled with my in play football app bad run) and having to revert back to my original stake per point. If you are going to follow points staking then you need to stick to your stakes and have enough in the back to cover the losing runs. I thought 100 points was enough but given the amount of services I'm using now this was not enough. I'm sticking to small stakes now per point and wont think about increasing it again until my bank hits 200 points. I'm also being more selective in the bets I do, some services come up with 2 or 3 point win only bets and these have proved expensive so I'm dropping them.

I layed Susan Boyle Saturday night, not something to like to admit to.....it was a close run thing in the Britains Got Talent final but her price seemed to low @ 1.7 and she was in the last two before bowing out in second spot.

Busy busy busy....

May 27th

Time for another update although my motivation for keeping this updated is getting less and less! It's been a decent enough week with the in play app slowly recouping its losses from earlier this month, currently £100 down for the month so still time to try and at least get back to level. Gillingham's last minute winner in their play off final cost me a nice sum and that would of left me level for the month!!
Scunthorpe v Millwall was the pick of the games over the weekend for me. Sunday afternoon's dramatic Permiership relegation show down turned into a damp squib, Newcastle looked lifeless and you just couldnt ever see them scoring against Villa.

The horse selections are still ticking over nicely and although it looks like May won't be the best of months for my Profit/Loss things won't look quite as bleak as they did earlier this month.

My own horse selection app had a nice 15/1 winner yesterday which puts it into a 3 point profit for the month after a dismal few days. I'm only playing small stakes so I'm happy to leave it running and see where we get to with it.

It's come up with the following today:

Cart 17:35 Solway Bee @ 5.7
Cart 17:35 Lord Tee @ 8.6
Bev 18:50 Sounds Of Jupiter @ 13

Haven't a clue about the big game tonight, a 4-4 goal fest or a 0-0 bore-a-thon ? Noone seems to know and the prices on Betfair certainly suggest that there is nothing between the two sides. It's the lottery tonight so you're probably better off having a punt on that instead....

May 22nd

About time I updated this with a post. This week was ticking along until yesterday when the horse selections had the sort of day you love :o) Special mention to NoseAhead who had a fantastic day with special credit to a nice EW double!

The in play football app has been slowly clawing back its losses from the torrid time it had at the beginning of the month, it's made about £250 in the last week and is now 'only' down £135 since the beginning of the month.

My personal picks have been coming along as well. Tuesday was a good day with one winner from the 4 selections and the final selection trading down to 1.16 in-running. The personal horse selections are currently running at +1 point, time to retire :o) I really should post them, it's just getting the time.
Here's todays anyway:

Newc 16:30. Ancient Cross @ 3.8
Newc 16:30. Bravely @ 7.6
Pont 21:00. Avertor @ 4
HayD 18:20. King Of Swords @ 5.5
Brig 17:25. Radiator Rooney @ 5.8
Brig 15:40. Karmei @ 21
Newc 17:35. Sudden Impulse @ 12
Hayd 19:20. Captain Scooby @ 8.2

If I have a chance I might run the powerstats for the weekend and post them up.

May 18th

Well I'm posting so that can only mean one thing, yes after what seemed like an eternity I've finally managed to pull in a decent profit over the weekend :o)

The in play football app finally came back to winning ways, currently up about £200 since the last post, still down for the month but not as bad now. The horse selection services also had a fine weekend, with a special mention to The Form Analyst bringing in 43 points profit, very much needed and very well received!

My new horse backing application had a bit of a mare over the weekend, it picks out horses during the morning based on various factors. On Saturday though it went a bit mad, ok it wasn't the programme it was the programmer, and picked a horse in every race. Only 2 quid a pop but it still added up and I then had to go through all the races and lay the bets off which took some time. It's picked out 5 today and backed them accordingly, I'll post them here but obviously do not put anything on these, this is strictly a work in progress!

Wolv 8.50. Plumage @ 10.5
Sthl 3.40. Shadows Lengthen @ 8.4
Sthl 5.10. Wiltshire @ 7.4
Newt 3.20. Bollitree Bob @ 4.3
Newt 2.20. Island Flyer @ 2.98

I haven't run powerstats for a while, been to busy with other things really. That's all on hold now till next season. It was a disappointing season for the powerstats, I was never confident with the selections. We'll start it again next season and try and stick with it the whole way through then see where we are.

May 11th

The abysmal run continues hence lack of updates really. It's hard to motivate yourself with a blog when you're struggling at this game! The in play football app has had losses of £45, £57, £45 and £7 in the last 4 days. May 3rd was the last time it showed a daily profit. The only good thing to come out of this at the moment is the fact I am closely monitoring my services within a spreadsheet now, May though is a sea of red figures.

I'm still fighting though and have enough in the bank to see out this rough period, no chasing or mad mug bets to try and win it back.

The horses have had a terrible time as well, none of the services I use are performing. I was hoping that using a variety of services might level the P/L a little better but if they are all under performing then it makes things five times as bad :o)

If you want to read more about how the services are going then I suggest you take a read of JP's blog, thats some scarey figures. It's all about the long term view though so we all just need to try and ride it out.

It's all quiet on my other projects, as I said, its hard to motivate yourself when you're going through a tough run.

May 7th

A nasty couple of days for the in play football app with respective £84 and £65 losses, thats coupled with a sharp downhill curve in my P/L on my horse services and things are a bit bleak at the moment! I'm not to worried about the in play app, I know that makes money over time, I could just do without the losses coming all at once! I need to also have a think about the in play football app over the summer, last summer it performed badly on the obscure summer football markets so I may bite the bullet and switch it off at some point. It has bad months occasionally so it might of been just a coincendental blip last year.
Barca's 93rd min equaliser last night was a real blow for me as well as for Chelsea... :o), it turned a £65 profit into a £20 loss and ensured a loss on the day.

I've had my own app running on the horse markets for the last week or so and I'm now getting quite a bit of data coming through for it. I've written another app that analyses this data and I might of spotted a potential for getting involved in laying certain selections based on certain criteria, I'll carry on paper trading it (well - electronically trading it) for now and monitor how it goes.

Darts on tonight, haven't even seen whose playing, I've lost a bit of interest in it recently, probably because I couldn't make any money from it! I think the only way to make money from darts is sit there watching it and trade the markets.

I did plan to start taking a bit more interest in the cricket as the football season draws to a close but I seem to have enough on my plate for the time being so thats something else for the back burner...

May 5th

Went away for the bank holiday weekend so haven't had much time for the blog...! The in play football app has been ticking over, up about £20 since the last post. The horse selections have been a bit indifferent though and May is showing a loss at present.

I've gone over my P/L for April, horse selections showed a profit of £486 and football £66. The football should of been a lot better though as I was running my Match Odds application at the beginning of April and despite my optimism, I had to stop it after it was showing losses of about £300.

Nice to see Powerstats hit a bit of form (and go into profit!) on Sunday with a welcome return of 16 points, this was thanks to Sparta @ 8.2, Birmingham @ 4.1 and Le Havre @ 8's.

Running Powerstats now at +1 point profit.

Quick plug as well for John's missus who is running the race for life - http://www.raceforlifesponsorme.org/louiseshearer2

Another plug as well for a service I use - NoseAhead. The guy regularly posts on The Form Analysts forum and I've been following his tips for a while, link added on the right as well. I've decided not to renew with The Form Guru for now, the results were a little dissapointing although I did end up in a small profit. I've got a few other services to concentrate on at the moment so I'll stick with them and keep an eye on Form Guru for now.

Will post any powerstats for today later, doubt there will be any though.....

May 3rd

Very quick update with todays Powerstats:

Away Win predicted Hamburg v Hertha. Back Hertha at odds in excess of 3.75
Home Win predicted Charlton v Norwich. Back Charlton at odds in excess of 3.75
Home Win predicted Plymouth v Barnsley. Back Plymouth at odds in excess of 3.3
Away Win predicted Reading v Birmingham. Back Birmingham at odds in excess of 3.1
Home Win predicted Sheffield Weds v Cardiff. Back Sheffield Weds at odds in excess of 3.4
Away Win predicted Watford v Derby. Back Derby at odds in excess of 3.6
Away Win predicted Nantes v Le Havre. Back Le Havre at odds in excess of 6.5
Home Win predicted Sparta v Ajax. Back Sparta at odds in excess of 6.0
Home Win predicted Santander v Almeria. Back Santander at odds in excess of 2.25

May 2nd

Very up and down week for me so hopefully things will become a little steadier this weekend...! Just a quick post with todays Powerstats:

Home Win predicted Waregem v Standard. Back Waregem at odds in excess of 5.5
Away Win predicted Bayern Munich v M'gladbach. Back M'gladbach at odds in excess of 9.5
Away Win predicted Schalke 04 v Leverkusen. Back Leverkusen at odds in excess of 4.5
Away Win predicted Carlisle v Millwall. Back Millwall at odds in excess of 3.5
Away Win predicted St Etienne v Nancy. Back Nancy at odds in excess of 5.0
Away Win predicted Arbroath v Peterhead. Back Peterhead at odds in excess of 2.5
Away Win predicted Cowdenbeath v Forfar. Back Forfar at odds in excess of 4.33
Away Win predicted Dumbarton v Elgin. Back Elgin at odds in excess of 11.0

April 30th

Nothing much happening out of the norm for me betting wise really. The in play football app had it's first loss for 4 days on Tuesday with a £61 hit, came back strongly yesterday though with a welcome £86 profit. It's the last day of the month today so I'll be going through my P/L at some point tomorrow and post up my profits/losses on the various sports.

Horse racing came back into form on Tuesday with a sturdy £50 profit but then yesterday had the absolute day from hell, 11 selections and not a sausage in return, a nasty 20 point loss. The horse P/L will still look pretty good for the month I reckon but I can't stand to many days like yesterday....!

I've got my new horse data monitoring app up and running so we'll see if that churns up anything half useful, it runs first thing in the morning and just monitors the various markets throughout the day logging the data. I'll probably look at writing another app to parse that data and see what we can find out....I'm also looking at setting up an app to parse xml data from various online bookies, its not something I've done before so it's quite interesting (well I think it is...), I never realised bookies made this data freely available via xml, be handy to have something running that monitors prices on the exchanges as well as a few bookies.

Darts tonight, my advice - No Bet :o)